KIKIHY
0x70b1923892a7b62daa552f2d58798cce146602bd
- Realised P&L
- $-352.30
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $123.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $79.96 | −$0.04 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.980 | 0.970 | $43.55 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.00at 0.350Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?
- +$3.42at 0.991Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$2.52at 0.989Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$1.06at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
- +$1.05at 0.997Xi Jinping out before October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 13:33 | Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98 | $44.00 |
| 10-16 13:33 | Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $80.00 |
| 09-04 11:50 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9919999936 | $67.00 |
| 09-04 11:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9913442633 | $96.00 |
| 08-04 10:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 10:42 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 10:41 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $128.00 |
| 07-22 13:25 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.9959999953 | $203.00 |
| 07-14 15:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.901999876 | $7.00 |
| 07-14 15:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $184.00 |
| 06-23 11:31 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.40 |
| 06-05 19:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 06-05 19:14 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $330.00 |
| 05-21 12:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.00 |
| 05-19 10:32 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.00 |