PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flopped

0x70a79f4ce4090ad72649867aaf7b6e990a7b82ad

Realised P&L
$-8.9k
Volume
$73.5k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2500.235$1.3k−$84.43
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$794.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3AM ET · Down0.5090.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11PM ET · Down0.5140.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.2270.000$0.00−$10.2k
Ethereum Up or Down on September 11? · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET · Down0.4950.000$0.00−$175.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$100.00
2H Spread: Oregon (-11.5) · Oregon0.5000.000$0.00−$500.00
Solana Up or Down on September 11? · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10PM ET · Down0.5280.000$0.00−$100.00
1H Spread: Oregon (-13.5) · Oregon0.5300.000$0.00−$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 18:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$22.77
09-11 18:47Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$2.3k
09-11 16:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$2.6k
09-10 12:12Solana Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.5$10.00
09-10 12:06Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.47$93.76
09-10 12:04Ethereum Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.5$10.00
09-08 21:44Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.5$5.00
09-08 21:43Ethereum Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.5$10.00
09-08 15:11Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?BUY0.4924634$246.23
09-08 15:10Ethereum Up or Down on September 9?BUY0.495$9.90
09-08 03:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.5$25.00
09-07 22:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
09-06 22:00Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5)BUY0.56$261.03
09-06 21:58Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5)BUY0.49$2.5k
09-06 21:42Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5)BUY0.55$1.1k