flopped
0x70a79f4ce4090ad72649867aaf7b6e990a7b82ad
- Realised P&L
- $-8.9k
- Volume
- $73.5k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.502Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5)
- +$1.1kat 0.564Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5)
- +$499.75at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on September 9?
- +$259.65at 0.501Ethereum Up or Down on September 10?
- +$250.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 18:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $22.77 |
| 09-11 18:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.3k |
| 09-11 16:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.6k |
| 09-10 12:12 | Solana Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 12:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.47 | $93.76 |
| 09-10 12:04 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 21:43 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 15:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.4924634 | $246.23 |
| 09-08 15:10 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.495 | $9.90 |
| 09-08 03:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-07 22:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 22:00 | Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $261.03 |
| 09-06 21:58 | Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $2.5k |
| 09-06 21:42 | Spread: Notre Dame (-20.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $1.1k |