fdhjdjyfdjyjc34
0x709afb322042dd9f762a87f23a107cfa0239a94d
- Realised P&L
- $0.86
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $5.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 September 14-20? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $4.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.85at 0.750Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 April 13-19?
- +$4.71at 0.710Spurs vs. Raptors
- +$3.78at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
- +$1.85at 0.68976ers vs. Hawks
- +$0.03at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 06:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 05:46 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 05-29 08:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 30? | BUY | 0.9989998012 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 08:45 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $12.48 |
| 05-29 03:00 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9909999997 | $12.50 |
| 04-23 05:47 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.54 |
| 04-16 03:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.67 |
| 03-18 02:41 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $8.43 |
| 03-18 02:36 | Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $13.52 |
| 03-12 03:17 | Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.54 |
| 03-07 06:56 | 76ers vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.689000888 | $4.10 |
| 03-03 01:40 | Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.993 | $16.33 |
| 02-28 05:12 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $392.93 |
| 02-28 01:26 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $393.33 |