Christine5170
0x7097b5ef1bf0fb2f7ae8243bcfaddd62cad13064
- Realised P&L
- $6.23
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 435
- Open portfolio
- $97.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded435
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $30.85 | +$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on September 23? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $27.19 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 22? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $19.51 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $11.09 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $8.38 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.47at 0.916US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?
- +$0.22at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
- +$0.21at 0.998Will Elon tweet 435–449 times August 22–August 29?
- +$0.11at 0.999Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$0.11at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.38 |
| 09-23 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.9989999201 | $11.10 |
| 09-22 23:54 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C or higher on September 23? | BUY | 0.997435637 | $27.20 |
| 09-22 18:50 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.80 |
| 09-21 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.9989999754 | $19.50 |
| 09-19 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.10 |
| 09-18 01:01 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.40 |
| 09-13 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.60 |
| 09-11 17:31 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.50 |
| 09-11 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.50 |
| 09-10 20:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.10 |
| 09-07 15:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.70 |
| 09-06 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.50 |
| 09-06 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.80 |
| 09-05 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on September 6? | BUY | 0.9989999849 | $18.70 |