PolyBot

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Traders

0x708c5de5f65c84616b695c5a9d6b0bed3175576e

0x708c5de5f65c84616b695c5a9d6b0bed3175576e

Realised P&L
$30.18
Volume
$617.24
Markets traded
224
Open portfolio
$11.55

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded224
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes0.3300.935$2.83+$1.83
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · Yes0.3400.475$1.40+$0.40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.7500.925$1.23+$0.23
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7200.855$1.19+$0.19
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · Yes0.2400.250$1.04+$0.04
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? · Yes0.4200.415$0.99−$0.01
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%? · Yes0.2800.275$0.98−$0.02
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? · No0.5300.515$0.97−$0.03
Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%? · No0.4800.440$0.92−$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 06:27Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-11 22:26Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-11 14:25Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-11 14:24Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-11 06:16Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
10-10 21:30Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-10 13:21Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-10 04:07Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-09 19:20Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-09 11:17Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7989999696$1.00
10-09 03:16Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-08 19:15Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-08 09:54Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-08 01:52Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $192 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-07 14:41Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.649999805$1.00