0x70889280aB106F3e298cB0F6cff634A95DAD0086-1754841929234
0x70889280ab106f3e298cb0f6cff634a95dad0086
- Realised P&L
- $959.15
- Volume
- $176.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,717
- Open portfolio
- $191.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,717
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$390.42at 0.020Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?
- +$175.77at 0.011Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 9?
- +$174.80at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 27?
- +$157.13at 0.078Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 24?
- +$145.72at 0.087Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 18:04 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 06-14 16:17 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.943 | $9.43 |
| 06-13 15:05 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June? | SELL | 0.4009717 | $40.10 |
| 06-12 19:13 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.052 | $5.20 |
| 06-12 10:35 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.74 | $187.97 |
| 05-27 05:21 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 05-26 07:46 | Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? | BUY | 0.6568 | $26.27 |
| 04-28 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 29? | SELL | 0.21 | $13.68 |
| 04-27 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27? | SELL | 0.8083809524 | $16.98 |
| 04-26 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 27? | SELL | 0.3131705624 | $13.53 |
| 04-26 05:39 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 27? | SELL | 0.31 | $10.00 |
| 04-25 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on April 27? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.54 |
| 04-22 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 24? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.95 |
| 04-22 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 24? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.60 |
| 04-22 07:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 23? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.59 |