PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x708254e7454b8754231949a6e958e50354b53a10

Realised P&L
$-122.74
Volume
$26.4k
Markets traded
442
Open portfolio
$150.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded442
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.485$20.60$2.78
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3200.655$17.72+$9.06
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? · No0.6830.755$14.49+$1.38
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.3600.615$11.91+$4.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? · No0.9090.968$9.14+$0.55
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · No0.4700.465$7.97$0.09
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1960.355$6.51+$2.91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · No0.4760.820$5.83+$2.44
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? · No0.6070.635$5.78+$0.26
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2220.205$4.97$0.41
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.2300.665$4.94+$3.23
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? · No0.6920.963$3.47+$0.98
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? · Yes0.3100.295$2.95$0.15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2800.195$2.92$1.27
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.6100.585$2.88$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?SELL0.78$3.26
09-17 11:52Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?BUY0.31$3.10
09-17 07:43Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.4699999438$1.17
09-16 16:12Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$1.05
09-15 17:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.4099999481$1.66
09-15 16:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?BUY0.9089999995$8.59
09-15 16:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.4899999354$2.35
09-15 12:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?SELL0.332$1.66
09-15 12:52Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.2$1.43
09-15 12:29Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.6099998495$1.50
09-15 12:09Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.6099998495$1.50
09-15 08:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.7439997334$1.63
09-15 08:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.5599999019$1.37
09-15 07:58Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?BUY0.6299999797$3.41
09-14 15:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?BUY0.2269999803$2.26