0x708254e7454b8754231949a6e958e50354b53a10
- Realised P&L
- $-122.74
- Volume
- $26.4k
- Markets traded
- 442
- Open portfolio
- $150.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded442
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.21at 0.190Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?
- +$46.64at 0.318US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$44.25at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?
- +$35.69at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 29?
- +$27.71at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.78 | $3.26 |
| 09-17 11:52 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 09-17 07:43 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | BUY | 0.4699999438 | $1.17 |
| 09-16 16:12 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-15 17:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.4099999481 | $1.66 |
| 09-15 16:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.9089999995 | $8.59 |
| 09-15 16:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.4899999354 | $2.35 |
| 09-15 12:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.332 | $1.66 |
| 09-15 12:52 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.43 |
| 09-15 12:29 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.6099998495 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 12:09 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.6099998495 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 08:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.7439997334 | $1.63 |
| 09-15 08:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.5599999019 | $1.37 |
| 09-15 07:58 | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.6299999797 | $3.41 |
| 09-14 15:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.2269999803 | $2.26 |