0x707b7d58f60a790f633335c47f1e99c9bd7969f2
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 821
- Open portfolio
- $40.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded821
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.159 | $32.0k | +$14.4k |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.825 | $8.3k | +$1.1k |
| Tien vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream · Golden State Valkyries | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.370Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$4.7kat 0.522Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$4.3kat 0.572Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5)
- +$3.9kat 0.560Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
- +$3.8kat 0.570Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:05 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $300.00 |
| 10-28 22:56 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.57 | $1.1k |
| 10-28 15:29 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.59 | $1.4k |
| 10-28 00:40 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5 | $192.50 |
| 10-28 00:25 | Tien vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $125.00 |
| 10-28 00:19 | Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe | BUY | 0.47 | $470.00 |
| 10-28 00:18 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune | BUY | 0.37 | $185.00 |
| 10-28 00:18 | Game Spread: Denis Shapovalov (-3.5) vs Remy Bertola (+3.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $376.00 |
| 10-26 22:53 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech | BUY | 0.4780564137 | $500.00 |
| 10-26 22:53 | Game Spread: Alexander Zverev (-5.5) vs Martin Landaluce (+5.5) | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $300.00 |
| 10-23 10:53 | Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4299999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-19 22:48 | Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang | BUY | 0.7054787278 | $1000.00 |
| 10-19 22:46 | Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang | BUY | 0.6999999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-14 09:31 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-14 09:30 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.6799999994 | $300.00 |