Samuelbjnr
0x7078ea52202a6439b1c61ae49246e73419940b99
- Realised P&L
- $-12.32
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $2.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.56at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$5.64at 0.151Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$5.18at 0.070Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$4.10at 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$3.38at 0.086Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 10:59 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 10-17 10:56 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0877076398 | $1.50 |
| 10-17 10:53 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0323529407 | $1.50 |
| 08-20 08:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 22:59 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.46 |
| 08-17 15:07 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 15:06 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2039998703 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 16:58 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.62 |
| 08-16 16:23 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.6899998669 | $1.40 |
| 08-15 12:54 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998934 | $1.69 |
| 08-04 19:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:37 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.26 |
| 08-04 09:45 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999808 | $1.50 |
| 08-04 09:40 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998401 | $1.30 |