PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x706d58176054eaf0265722de758afd17f92b1c5a

0x706d58176054eaf0265722de758afd17f92b1c5a

Realised P&L
$-636.89
Volume
$24.0k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$201.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8990.880$151.40−$3.29
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1700.225$26.50+$6.48
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.165$12.22+$1.11
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.4300.033$9.07−$110.93
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.2610.004$1.73−$98.27
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2700.001$0.19−$99.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 22:06Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8991077124$154.69
10-26 22:05Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.996$310.96
08-25 23:04Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1499999899$11.11
08-25 23:03Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1699999942$20.02
07-12 12:21Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2179999988$110.07
07-11 08:06UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.4499999969$65.98
07-11 08:05UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.3099999992$232.09
07-11 08:04Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?SELL0.6782921424$140.79
06-30 11:03Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2899999997$555.40
06-30 11:02Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.47$123.01
06-14 15:41US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?BUY0.709999993$100.00
04-19 17:21Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.5291066336$248.75
04-12 22:31Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.94$252.78
04-12 17:32Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?SELL0.999$515.26
04-12 16:25Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?BUY0.4299999991$96.10