Frank4143434
0x70654b35bad915c3d1dbe10e202df85c99d9b931
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $29.0k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $485.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No | 0.470 | 0.405 | $339.66 | −$54.51 |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.130 | $146.33 | −$180.06 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$278.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.27at 0.192Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$106.65at 0.643Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$77.78at 0.720Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
- +$25.23at 0.760Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
- +$22.22at 0.900Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4699999997 | $394.17 |
| 09-13 20:15 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 09-13 20:15 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.2 | $70.82 |
| 09-13 20:02 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 08-28 12:38 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.2899653201 | $931.44 |
| 08-28 12:37 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.2397593253 | $988.45 |
| 07-22 21:39 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2 | $395.36 |
| 04-08 03:00 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3870362917 | $278.20 |
| 03-27 00:31 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1789999997 | $384.11 |
| 03-27 00:30 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.14 | $382.32 |
| 02-14 00:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1499999969 | $35.86 |
| 02-09 15:57 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | SELL | 0.013 | $35.14 |
| 01-29 20:50 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BUY | 0.0316797428 | $85.63 |
| 01-29 13:52 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January? | BUY | 0.3965856447 | $200.00 |
| 01-29 13:49 | Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | BUY | 0.72 | $200.00 |