PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Frank4143434

0x70654b35bad915c3d1dbe10e202df85c99d9b931

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$29.0k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$485.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4700.405$339.66$54.51
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.2900.130$146.33$180.06
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? · No0.3870.000$0.00$278.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 20:202026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4699999997$394.17
09-13 20:15Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.19$9.50
09-13 20:15Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.2$70.82
09-13 20:02Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.21$1.05
08-28 12:38Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?BUY0.2899653201$931.44
08-28 12:37Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.2397593253$988.45
07-22 21:39Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2$395.36
04-08 03:00Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3870362917$278.20
03-27 00:31Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1789999997$384.11
03-27 00:302026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.14$382.32
02-14 00:362026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1499999969$35.86
02-09 15:57Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?SELL0.013$35.14
01-29 20:50Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?BUY0.0316797428$85.63
01-29 13:52Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January?BUY0.3965856447$200.00
01-29 13:49Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?BUY0.72$200.00