0x70618Fe0E3d624949E7a2aE4839478368a484591-1767890025998
0x70618fe0e3d624949e7a2ae4839478368a484591
- Realised P&L
- $-126.18
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $16.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.75at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$36.67at 0.120Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$34.44at 0.069Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?
- +$13.41at 0.276Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
- +$12.75at 0.286Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 22:00 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 20:19 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 20:16 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 20:16 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 10:30 | Will a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0666852163 | $2.00 |
| 06-27 10:30 | Will a player representing Netherlands be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0339999838 | $2.00 |
| 06-27 10:30 | Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 06-27 10:27 | Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0029999985 | $2.00 |
| 06-27 10:26 | Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0039230148 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 10:25 | Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0619999886 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 10:24 | Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0069999986 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 08:15 | Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 08:14 | Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 08:12 | Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0610000008 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 11:25 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |