cacobuenon69
0x70598f972a9c5942cabfc186938d75f6986e9b3d
- Realised P&L
- $-74.39
- Volume
- $55.1k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $21.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mile Svilar (Roma) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Serie A season? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.350 | $21.00 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.96at 0.790Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$20.06at 0.830US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$7.65at 0.780Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$5.93at 0.810Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$4.66at 0.507Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 23:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $6.04 |
| 06-01 23:08 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.357 | $1.26 |
| 06-01 23:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.42 |
| 06-01 23:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.00 |
| 06-01 22:35 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $54.78 |
| 06-01 19:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $57.19 |
| 06-01 17:00 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.352 | $0.07 |
| 06-01 14:55 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.60 |
| 06-01 14:40 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6529999995 | $5.36 |
| 06-01 10:48 | Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 06-01 10:38 | Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya | BUY | 0.429999963 | $2.21 |
| 05-31 10:47 | Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek | SELL | 0.98 | $9.31 |
| 05-31 10:23 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.3569998952 | $1.26 |
| 05-31 10:23 | Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek | BUY | 0.5 | $4.93 |
| 05-30 15:13 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.01 |