vlsb
0x7058dcb61d4a02c60de73bb19e43cc679130286c
- Realised P&L
- $-24.00
- Volume
- $931.94
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $21.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)17.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.215 | $8.38 | −$4.88 |
| Will Olivia Wilde be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.615 | $7.56 | −$0.68 |
| Will Digger win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.129 | $5.16 | −$2.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.95at 0.350Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
- +$1.10at 0.480WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 13?
- +$0.46at 0.640Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$0.00at 0.150Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?
- +$-0.02at 0.600Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 23:10 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.65 | $0.65 |
| 10-14 10:09 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.17 |
| 10-13 19:52 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.33 | $7.68 |
| 10-13 14:20 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.6 on October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-13 13:40 | Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | SELL | 0.2525 | $10.10 |
| 10-13 09:45 | Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.35 | $9.10 |
| 10-13 08:51 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 13? | SELL | 0.77 | $4.62 |
| 10-13 08:51 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 13? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.42 |
| 10-13 00:26 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 13? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 10-12 22:00 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 13? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 10-12 11:27 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 35%-40%? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-12 10:56 | Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.18 |
| 10-11 19:49 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |