Ant86
0x7057a34ac1d394df61d5a6d62b3291d2288ff998
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $220.0k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.053Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?
- +$1.9kat 0.028Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?
- +$1.0kat 0.236Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?
- +$492.40at 0.100Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?
- +$490.46at 0.223Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:23 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.3899999983 | $85.05 |
| 09-11 13:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.449999991 | $15.00 |
| 09-03 11:29 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.4671087297 | $50.00 |
| 08-31 00:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August? | SELL | 0.8347218249 | $101.54 |
| 08-31 00:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August? | BUY | 0.8919999997 | $55.00 |
| 08-31 00:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.048 | $5.52 |
| 08-31 00:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August? | BUY | 0.875 | $4.38 |
| 07-28 13:07 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.08 | $112.00 |
| 07-20 21:37 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.08 | $320.00 |
| 06-25 20:20 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.09 | $90.00 |
| 06-24 23:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 06-24 23:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 06-24 13:41 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 06-21 16:59 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.11 | $33.00 |
| 06-20 13:51 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |