0x704f1d0ec825d1446e3b74017b39e62a5eff82f9
0x704f1d0ec825d1446e3b74017b39e62a5eff82f9
- Realised P&L
- $-8.87
- Volume
- $134.85
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $2.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.951 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.755 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.349Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$2.77at 0.430US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 15:26 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:50 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:41 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:30 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3599999724 | $2.09 |
| 09-10 22:27 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.209999999 | $2.09 |
| 09-08 00:45 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999305 | $2.09 |
| 09-07 09:02 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999382 | $2.09 |
| 08-17 10:01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.5999999426 | $2.09 |
| 08-17 01:54 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999471 | $2.09 |
| 08-11 05:07 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.7599999419 | $1.57 |
| 08-10 07:30 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999315 | $2.09 |
| 08-08 11:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999246 | $2.09 |