Sharl-Lmaoo
0x704b141b29fa8cf807f4c54d93d1f06bdef82e5a
- Realised P&L
- $49.58
- Volume
- $222.63
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $24.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar22.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 29? · Yes | 0.646 | 0.945 | $24.95 | +$7.90 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 26? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.20 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on September 19? · No | 0.914 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.90at 0.507Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 24?
- +$23.28at 0.249Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 24°C on September 22?
- +$13.62at 0.306Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 26?
- +$9.76at 0.713Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on September 22?
- +$1.33at 0.933Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 15:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.63 | $7.81 |
| 09-29 14:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.24 |
| 09-28 13:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-26 10:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.2956016513 | $5.80 |
| 09-26 10:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 09-24 12:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.5 | $17.50 |
| 09-24 11:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 11:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.68 |
| 09-24 10:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.82 |
| 09-22 12:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.72 | $9.88 |
| 09-22 11:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.44 |
| 09-22 11:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.6904109513 | $14.00 |
| 09-19 03:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9141163582 | $11.00 |
| 09-14 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |