0x7047cd0e8ba33f8dd64cb3198c08b3615c945169
0x7047cd0e8ba33f8dd64cb3198c08b3615c945169
- Realised P&L
- $3.74
- Volume
- $87.07
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $6.68
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.520 | 0.910 | $1.75 | +$0.75 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.915 | $1.70 | +$0.70 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.835 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? · No | 0.320 | 0.305 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.505 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 14?
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 15:50 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 19? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 07:36 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 23:34 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 13:10 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 01:58 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:58 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 09:22 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 01:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 16:55 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 08:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 00:39 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 15:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 07:10 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 14? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 23:05 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 11:42 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |