0x7047AA2ba3D2bE1c15F07a139C571a3FB1f431b3-1768274497941
0x7047aa2ba3d2be1c15f07a139c571a3fb1f431b3
- Realised P&L
- $-642.30
- Volume
- $47.2k
- Markets traded
- 683
- Open portfolio
- $6.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded683
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.34at 0.252Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?
- +$65.97at 0.068Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?
- +$63.24at 0.145Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 17?
- +$59.42at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 8?
- +$25.43at 0.394Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-10 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 11? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.96 |
| 10-10 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 04:22 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.043 | $7.14 |
| 08-20 05:36 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0419999612 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 05:29 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0419999801 | $1.99 |
| 08-20 05:29 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0419999801 | $1.99 |
| 08-20 05:29 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0419999801 | $1.99 |
| 08-20 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.10 |
| 08-20 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.056 | $0.11 |
| 08-20 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 22? | BUY | 0.2 | $0.40 |
| 08-20 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.10 |
| 08-20 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.01 |
| 08-20 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.10 |