PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

arbbase01

0x702e67c9bf8b0a465805802d5379f18712535ae4

Realised P&L
$-36.77
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$60.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) · Team WE0.6440.635$10.79−$0.15
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) · HANJIN BRION0.6800.705$7.05+$0.25
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5) · BC.Game Esports0.6800.685$6.85+$0.05
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.3500.310$6.21−$0.79
Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 · Under0.6100.610$6.10+$0.00
Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under0.6100.595$5.95−$0.15
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5) · NIP0.5600.565$5.65+$0.05
Map Handicap: VIT.A (-1.5) vs VP.Future 3 (+1.5) · VP.Future 30.5100.545$5.45+$0.35
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) · 9z0.5500.545$5.45−$0.05
Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? · Yes0.0400.037$0.75−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 15? · Yes0.1100.001$0.02−$4.16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15? · Yes0.3730.001$0.01−$4.47
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 15? · Yes0.4400.001$0.00−$2.20
Panthers vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5 · Under0.2300.000$0.00−$2.53
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) · PARIVISION0.7200.000$0.00−$8.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 06:42Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)BUY0.64$6.40
10-15 04:41Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 15?BUY0.11$4.18
10-15 04:25Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 15?BUY0.44$4.40
10-15 02:16Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15?BUY0.3733333333$4.48
10-15 02:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?BUY0.84$4.20
10-15 00:35Map Handicap: VIT.A (-1.5) vs VP.Future 3 (+1.5)BUY0.51$5.10
10-14 23:02Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 6.5BUY0.61$6.10
10-14 22:06Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)BUY0.55$5.50
10-14 22:02Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.61$6.10
10-14 21:47Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)BUY0.68$6.80
10-14 21:05Map Handicap: MIBR.F (-1.5) vs Akave Esports Black (+1.5)BUY0.39$4.68
10-14 20:21Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)BUY0.68$6.80
10-14 19:57Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)BUY0.56$5.60
10-14 18:41Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 Group BSELL0.72$3.60
10-14 18:41Game Handicap: HULIGANI (-1.5) vs Kalmychata (+1.5)SELL0.43$4.30