0x702e2cd74357405F24534E2
0x702e2cd7a34372405f24534e25012a6da4284357
- Realised P&L
- $5.6k
- Volume
- $589.0k
- Markets traded
- 545
- Open portfolio
- $779.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded545
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$947.54at 0.051Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?
- +$733.00at 0.154Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?
- +$550.68at 0.036Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?
- +$369.34at 0.244Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?
- +$284.93at 0.410Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 18:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.69 | $22.77 |
| 09-17 17:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0090193284 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 09-17 12:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.0289807143 | $2.03 |
| 09-17 05:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.560258292 | $33.00 |
| 09-17 04:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 15:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 09-16 15:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 11:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.4492504625 | $89.85 |
| 09-16 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9464046085 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 09-15 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.1710357143 | $23.95 |
| 09-15 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.1915639455 | $15.32 |
| 09-15 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.2575331483 | $8.35 |