Leopolddf
0x7028408bdf98ec66641c36a9907a8fd8ab12d05b
- Realised P&L
- $56.13
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $27.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.485 | $27.64 | −$0.28 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.73 |
| UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Serghei Spivac | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$428.28at 0.500Will Jim Walden win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$403.38at 0.500Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$255.97at 0.500Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$117.84at 0.993Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$31.98at 0.500Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 12:18 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.997 | $76.92 |
| 10-15 12:17 | Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.49 | $27.93 |
| 10-15 12:16 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.00 |
| 10-15 12:16 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.00 |
| 09-10 07:18 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.59 | $25.37 |
| 08-25 06:09 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $41.96 |
| 08-25 06:09 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage | BUY | 0.41 | $22.14 |
| 08-25 06:05 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.00 |
| 08-21 02:34 | UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.42 | $17.64 |
| 08-05 07:57 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.71 | $19.17 |
| 07-14 08:42 | France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $17.16 |
| 07-02 09:32 | Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.29 | $18.73 |
| 06-23 11:33 | Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.66 | $42.50 |
| 05-26 06:06 | Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $51.95 |
| 05-26 06:05 | Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.00 |