0x70231e9c628513f103b214720dbb3c439dca8934
0x70231e9c628513f103b214720dbb3c439dca8934
- Realised P&L
- $-10.88
- Volume
- $206.13
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $2.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.895 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? · Up | 0.390 | 0.365 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$2.94at 0.412Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$2.94at 0.412Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
- +$1.95at 0.512Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.532Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 01:35 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:35 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 08:00 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:49 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:49 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 07:36 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 07:36 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 23:36 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 08:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 23:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 00:40 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |
| 08-15 12:01 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-14 03:08 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 19:05 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699997035 | $2.00 |
| 08-13 10:47 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |