0x701d2ab9afaef5953fa3aadac7444c02a254d3ad
0x701d2ab9afaef5953fa3aadac7444c02a254d3ad
- Realised P&L
- $13.79
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $89.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.525 | $89.24 | −$68.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.87at 0.940MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$3.62at 0.969Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15?
- +$1.95at 0.983Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?
- +$1.88at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$1.05at 0.990Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 10:23 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $163.49 |
| 05-02 03:44 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $161.16 |
| 03-31 05:17 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9398141113 | $138.53 |
| 03-19 09:35 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | BUY | 0.983 | $147.45 |
| 03-17 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 18? | SELL | 0.93443562 | $129.54 |
| 03-17 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 18? | BUY | 0.9614373512 | $133.28 |
| 03-16 12:31 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 03-15 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.9684900662 | $116.99 |
| 03-15 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on March 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |