leehorton
0x700fe32b03f70bee020b56e373a5a51fa36f9f2a
- Realised P&L
- $-33.98
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $5.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans vs. Grizzlies · Pelicans | 0.340 | 0.355 | $5.61 | +$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.46at 0.440Golden Knights vs. Bruins
- +$13.10at 0.490Florida International vs. Middle Tennessee
- +$7.06at 0.590Blues vs. Oilers
- +$6.29at 0.330Warriors vs. Timberwolves
- +$0.11at 0.390No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:02 | Pelicans vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.3399999924 | $5.37 |
| 02-06 15:40 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.988 | $190.15 |
| 02-06 14:24 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $190.35 |
| 02-06 14:22 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $192.39 |
| 02-06 12:14 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $192.79 |
| 02-06 12:09 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $186.55 |
| 02-06 10:58 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $186.75 |
| 01-24 08:31 | Warriors vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.3299999425 | $3.10 |
| 01-22 16:48 | Golden Knights vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.4399999923 | $11.36 |
| 01-21 11:23 | Cavaliers vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.4399999592 | $4.74 |
| 01-20 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 20? | BUY | 0.3409643852 | $14.54 |
| 01-18 23:04 | Blues vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.5899999518 | $10.16 |
| 01-17 11:22 | Wild vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.5499999923 | $21.49 |
| 01-16 00:04 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.389999966 | $6.66 |
| 11-15 00:49 | Providence Friars vs. Colorado Buffaloes | BUY | 0.4899999723 | $7.24 |