Ameliaghghg
0x700c03244f2b864c2c65a3910b169e8cae703c8e
- Realised P&L
- $-106.86
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $431.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? · No | 0.870 | 0.925 | $269.18 | +$16.00 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No | 0.870 | 0.875 | $134.64 | +$0.77 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.024 | $27.65 | −$99.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.37at 0.924Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$0.00at 0.918Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$-28.93at 0.960Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 09:37 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $69.19 |
| 06-30 09:18 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $57.53 |
| 05-21 12:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.87 |
| 04-21 06:33 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.924 | $336.33 |
| 04-13 13:22 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.918 | $93.63 |
| 04-13 13:22 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.918 | $123.01 |
| 04-13 12:44 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.918 | $165.24 |
| 04-13 12:44 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.918 | $92.72 |
| 04-13 06:56 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.9179999999 | $474.60 |