0x700b38b352202f4e8df98c58c3ef37f36a0a09cd
0x700b38b352202f4e8df98c58c3ef37f36a0a09cd
- Realised P&L
- $1.43
- Volume
- $241.19
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $6.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.230 | 0.950 | $4.13 | +$3.13 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 1.000 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? · Up | 0.340 | 0.300 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.04at 0.237Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.50at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.78at 0.359Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.34at 0.400Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 06:00 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 01:37 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 16:48 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:22 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:23 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 22:21 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 00:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:22 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:10 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:49 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:51 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |