0x7008bc2557737B5F6C6e5B9Dc0DC2a25D8Fc6aAC-1775408073523
0x7008bc2557737b5f6c6e5b9dc0dc2a25d8fc6aac
- Realised P&L
- $-55.40
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $23.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.12at 0.160Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?
- +$4.80at 0.510US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$4.02at 0.330Rockets vs. Lakers
- +$3.57at 0.624Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 10?
- +$2.90at 0.270Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-25 16:17 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.16 |
| 04-24 22:16 | Pharos FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $0.88 |
| 04-24 22:13 | Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $1.89 |
| 04-24 22:10 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999454 | $3.00 |
| 04-22 19:34 | Will FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $0.95 |
| 04-22 19:34 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $0.95 |
| 04-22 18:45 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? | BUY | 0.7799999766 | $3.95 |
| 04-22 12:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.86 |
| 04-22 09:50 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 04-22 09:50 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 04-22 09:49 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25? | BUY | 0.0579999464 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 19:46 | Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.3599999177 | $1.35 |
| 04-21 19:43 | Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $0.96 |
| 04-21 19:43 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.96 |
| 04-21 19:41 | Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | SELL | 0.669 | $2.19 |