jikolep
0x6ffa31143ce4ba40d8f4e3b9c8d5cb5c390febc5
- Realised P&L
- $195.34
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-31.05at 0.164Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 21:02 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000? | SELL | 0.975 | $360.75 |
| 10-18 20:31 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,500,000 and 2,650,000? | BUY | 0.0726404494 | $8.28 |
| 10-18 19:52 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000? | BUY | 0.2584054313 | $576.44 |
| 10-18 19:34 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? | BUY | 0.243803127 | $109.62 |
| 10-18 19:18 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.30 |
| 10-18 19:18 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000? | BUY | 0.1128181818 | $29.78 |
| 10-18 19:17 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000? | BUY | 0.9 | $0.90 |
| 10-18 19:17 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000? | BUY | 0.7890047772 | $2.9k |
| 10-18 19:04 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,500,000 and 4,750,000? | BUY | 0.1737362364 | $132.86 |
| 10-18 18:09 | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7802292096 | $958.57 |
| 10-18 14:58 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000? | BUY | 0.2288448493 | $16.33 |
| 10-18 12:52 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be less than 10,500,000? | BUY | 0.9193700159 | $311.28 |
| 10-18 12:49 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-18 12:49 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000? | BUY | 0.235 | $9.45 |
| 10-18 12:49 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000? | BUY | 0.2087785831 | $81.81 |