PolyBot

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Traders

jikolep

0x6ffa31143ce4ba40d8f4e3b9c8d5cb5c390febc5

Realised P&L
$195.34
Volume
$16.2k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$7.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000? · No0.7900.992$2.3k+$470.33
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 10,500,000 and 11,000,000? · No0.8470.970$1.2k+$151.74
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000? · Yes0.2580.470$1.0k+$472.02
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.845$1.0k+$79.58
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000? · Yes0.1500.360$569.25+$332.45
Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4960.730$378.63+$121.25
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be less than 10,500,000? · No0.9190.960$325.04+$13.76
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,500,000 and 4,750,000? · Yes0.1740.355$271.47+$138.61
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? · Yes0.2440.340$152.87+$43.25
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 975,000 and 1,050,000? · Yes0.1350.205$133.25+$45.61
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000? · Yes0.2090.305$119.51+$37.70
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000? · Yes0.1130.265$69.96+$40.18
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000? · Yes0.2830.320$42.96+$4.97
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000? · Yes0.2290.324$23.08+$6.75
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000? · Yes0.0600.125$13.13+$6.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 21:02Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000?SELL0.975$360.75
10-18 20:31Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,500,000 and 2,650,000?BUY0.0726404494$8.28
10-18 19:52Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?BUY0.2584054313$576.44
10-18 19:34Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?BUY0.243803127$109.62
10-18 19:18Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000?BUY0.06$6.30
10-18 19:18Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000?BUY0.1128181818$29.78
10-18 19:17Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000?BUY0.9$0.90
10-18 19:17Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000?BUY0.7890047772$2.9k
10-18 19:04Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,500,000 and 4,750,000?BUY0.1737362364$132.86
10-18 18:09France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7802292096$958.57
10-18 14:58Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000?BUY0.2288448493$16.33
10-18 12:52Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be less than 10,500,000?BUY0.9193700159$311.28
10-18 12:49Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?BUY0.24$4.80
10-18 12:49Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?BUY0.235$9.45
10-18 12:49Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000?BUY0.2087785831$81.81