indstngchatr
0x6ff9f8ff022b7b603634a5ee52946e1497a23427
- Realised P&L
- $-285.94
- Volume
- $32.1k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $97.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.605 | $60.50 | +$11.50 |
| Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.275 | $27.50 | −$5.50 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.185 | $9.28 | +$7.00 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31? · No | 0.293 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.06 |
| Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
| Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.53at 0.070Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
- +$105.65at 0.054Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$96.08at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$94.03at 0.088Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$91.00at 0.090Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 05:53 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | SELL | 0.393 | $39.30 |
| 07-24 15:52 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $62.65 |
| 07-23 16:02 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | SELL | 0.516125473 | $25.91 |
| 07-21 07:12 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | SELL | 0.1865996128 | $27.95 |
| 07-19 13:52 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | SELL | 0.0277606009 | $1.46 |
| 07-19 11:11 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.195 | $3.09 |
| 07-19 11:10 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $8.10 |
| 07-19 00:57 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 14:01 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 07-18 13:59 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | BUY | 0.0989506134 | $22.02 |
| 07-18 13:59 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31? | SELL | 0.4775198406 | $27.56 |
| 07-17 02:55 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31? | BUY | 0.0729999934 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 02:51 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31? | SELL | 0.424 | $19.22 |
| 07-15 17:24 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31? | BUY | 0.191 | $19.68 |
| 07-15 17:22 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.2224709661 | $9.00 |