indstngchatr
0x6ff9f8ff022b7b603634a5ee52946e1497a23427
- Realised P&L
- $-371.78
- Volume
- $40.4k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $500.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.75at 0.073Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
- +$105.48at 0.054Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$93.83at 0.089Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$93.02at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$91.00at 0.090Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 15:47 | Will One in a Million win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 15:46 | Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0347729327 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 16:38 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30? | SELL | 0.0464909137 | $3.63 |
| 09-21 17:25 | Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.0447782026 | $12.06 |
| 09-21 17:24 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.42 |
| 09-17 16:23 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30? | SELL | 0.167533 | $16.75 |
| 09-09 05:24 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $8.00 |
| 09-05 13:44 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $8.83 |
| 08-31 05:20 | Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.37 | $51.80 |
| 08-27 18:30 | Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | SELL | 0.3768356164 | $27.51 |
| 08-27 18:29 | Will Fjord win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.26 | $21.27 |
| 08-26 14:14 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.55 | $165.00 |
| 08-26 13:54 | Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.25 | $155.47 |
| 08-26 13:53 | Will Project Hail Mary win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0995125581 | $65.33 |
| 08-25 18:59 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1186666667 | $17.80 |