0x6fee01af8a2b933a92c1c78e98a7cbfbcc01f3b1
0x6fee01af8a2b933a92c1c78e98a7cbfbcc01f3b1
- Realised P&L
- $87.50
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $305.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes | 0.268 | 0.235 | $191.64 | −$27.21 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.048 | $113.65 | −$33.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.06at 0.074Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
- +$39.65at 0.075Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$30.51at 0.524Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$6.75at 0.955Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?
- +$4.34at 0.490Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 23:40 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.2027995231 | $9.30 |
| 10-29 23:40 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year? | SELL | 0.522 | $1.40 |
| 10-29 23:40 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.5249998604 | $1.41 |
| 10-29 23:39 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $5.91 |
| 10-29 23:38 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.97 |
| 10-29 23:38 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.0980833333 | $1.29 |
| 10-29 11:48 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0609999997 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 11:47 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.079352287 | $8.00 |
| 10-29 11:47 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 11:47 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 11:46 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.2307692272 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 07:08 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0908306236 | $20.04 |
| 10-26 07:08 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.297847034 | $20.68 |
| 10-26 07:07 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 10-26 07:06 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.0667069141 | $44.65 |