AT1515
0x6fd7660ac206c96a4c6d618cd83be8ec402d7113
- Realised P&L
- $-862.48
- Volume
- $53.3k
- Markets traded
- 256
- Open portfolio
- $200.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded256
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$263.65at 0.620Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$223.49at 0.156Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$206.63at 0.285Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
- +$166.82at 0.144Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
- +$154.59at 0.171Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 21:18 | Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 21:17 | Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.998999981 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 21:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8999999928 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 20:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.992 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 20:49 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.983 | $50.00 |
| 09-24 20:27 | Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 14:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 14:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 21:49 | Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.992 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 18:53 | Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.9949999264 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 18:51 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.998999981 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 18:48 | Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 18:47 | Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.9699998448 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 18:38 | Will FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.9989999023 | $9.10 |