PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AT1515

0x6fd7660ac206c96a4c6d618cd83be8ec402d7113

Realised P&L
$-862.48
Volume
$53.3k
Markets traded
256
Open portfolio
$200.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded256
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-09-26? · Yes0.9991.000$100.05+$0.05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yes0.9830.999$50.81+$0.81
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.9000.895$49.72−$0.28
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$1.71
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$56.16
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$3.50
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.9310.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$3.50
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$7.50
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$129.59
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$21.60
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00−$8.92
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00−$28.20
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00−$101.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 21:18Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.999$50.00
09-26 21:17Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.998999981$50.00
09-25 21:08US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8999999928$50.00
09-24 20:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 25?BUY0.992$100.00
09-24 20:49US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.983$50.00
09-24 20:27Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.999$30.00
09-21 14:32Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21?BUY0.999$100.00
09-21 14:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?BUY0.999$100.00
09-20 21:49Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20?BUY0.992$20.00
09-20 21:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.9299999888$5.00
09-20 18:53Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.9949999264$5.00
09-20 18:51Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.998999981$50.00
09-20 18:48Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.99$5.00
09-20 18:47Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.9699998448$5.00
09-20 18:38Will FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.9989999023$9.10