0x6Fd6C6954adF2f8b85fd30Ad09f86ba146c0200F-1779362506962
0x6fd6c6954adf2f8b85fd30ad09f86ba146c0200f
- Realised P&L
- $-122.97
- Volume
- $106.0k
- Markets traded
- 889
- Open portfolio
- $6.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded889
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$785.36at 0.058Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 14?
- +$760.27at 0.053Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?
- +$601.56at 0.021Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$229.95at 0.117Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14?
- +$220.91at 0.316Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 13:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 11:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.0339552018 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 11:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.0798403194 | $40.00 |
| 10-14 11:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 11:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.0239960007 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 11:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 11:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 11:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.0867940868 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 08:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.01 | $40.86 |
| 09-15 19:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 15? | SELL | 0.0529084096 | $46.59 |
| 09-15 17:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.06 | $52.84 |
| 09-10 12:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.1099999992 | $6.66 |
| 09-10 11:07 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $7.25 |
| 09-09 22:33 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999886 | $7.52 |
| 09-09 15:13 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $7.59 |