0x83558161eC07d831CBcdb4a46D4019F75A862293-1774441488957
0x6fd1c6076e94370937e22cca2ae893710c53271b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| France vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$327.08at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12PM ET
- +$207.90at 0.335Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 5?
- +$107.77at 0.061Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$102.24at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$91.23at 0.361Will Montenegro vs. Armenia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 20:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | SELL | 0.194 | $9.70 |
| 10-05 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 20:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 20:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $3.75 |
| 10-05 20:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 20:39 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 20:38 | Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 20:33 | Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.97 | $93.27 |
| 10-05 20:31 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.14 | $17.02 |
| 10-05 20:29 | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.01 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 20:28 | Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.01 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 20:20 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 10-05 20:14 | Antofagasta: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt | SELL | 0.4433757548 | $95.46 |