0x6Fc41178F2fEf13C8E2C74112023F7aFAF3008Cc-1767308921976
0x6fc41178f2fef13c8e2c74112023f7afaf3008cc
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $480.5k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.025 | $898.80 | +$153.79 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.451 | 0.445 | $115.42 | −$1.67 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · No | 0.652 | 0.605 | $81.97 | −$6.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.252Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- +$158.07at 0.460Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$157.98at 0.730Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$113.20at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$94.16at 0.947Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 22:42 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 07-29 00:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $215.81 |
| 07-29 00:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $215.81 |
| 07-20 12:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.0165899 | $13.27 |
| 07-01 15:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.003 | $44.34 |
| 06-29 05:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.96 |
| 06-29 05:56 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.013 | $13.00 |
| 06-27 22:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.017 | $8.41 |
| 06-26 02:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.048 | $53.14 |
| 06-25 01:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.045 | $38.63 |
| 06-20 15:48 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.023 | $11.50 |
| 06-15 04:55 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30? | SELL | 0.947 | $256.08 |
| 06-14 13:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 06-13 17:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8695 | $173.90 |
| 06-13 15:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8499999656 | $21.00 |