0x6Fc41178F2fEf13C8E2C74112023F7aFAF3008Cc-1767308921976
0x6fc41178f2fef13c8e2c74112023f7afaf3008cc
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $504.5k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.025 | $1.5k | +$130.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.252Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
- +$158.07at 0.460Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$157.98at 0.730Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$113.20at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$94.16at 0.947Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 05:41 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.026 | $170.17 |
| 10-26 05:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.65 | $167.59 |
| 10-09 04:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.63 | $55.33 |
| 09-30 00:48 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.028 | $56.00 |
| 09-18 11:03 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6 | $102.00 |
| 08-30 20:47 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.49 | $100.47 |
| 08-22 15:46 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.47 | $192.75 |
| 08-15 21:59 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.025 | $250.00 |
| 08-11 18:26 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.025 | $100.00 |
| 08-11 18:23 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | SELL | 0.6755255388 | $91.52 |
| 08-05 17:30 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.44 | $114.12 |
| 07-30 22:42 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 07-29 00:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $215.81 |
| 07-29 00:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $215.81 |
| 07-20 12:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.0165899 | $13.27 |