Organic-Indication-Warning
0x6fc0208b1fd0c92c8aabd0e58afe18d1909c4dbd
- Realised P&L
- $204.94
- Volume
- $21.6k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $109.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.231 | $29.57 | +$4.57 |
| Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.061 | $27.63 | +$4.63 |
| Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.050 | $25.27 | +$5.27 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.165 | $14.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.150 | $12.69 | −$2.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.22at 0.134Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$53.96at 0.035Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$52.64at 0.111Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
- +$49.77at 0.103Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
- +$20.25at 0.064Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:15 | Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.0591402144 | $8.06 |
| 10-29 15:02 | Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.2179999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 05:26 | Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0496563779 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 05:26 | Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0474464145 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 16:36 | Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0341908729 | $4.00 |
| 10-26 16:33 | Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0498377919 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 15:07 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.1590419314 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 21:25 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | SELL | 0.45 | $13.63 |
| 10-25 20:51 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 05:30 | Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 05:28 | Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 05:27 | Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.032 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 05:25 | Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0516923071 | $3.00 |
| 10-21 05:27 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.1879999977 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 01:47 | 76ers vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.3174019245 | $4.29 |