nolosingtrades
0x6fbc9afb7db9506337c4bfb0210727a0e7c0b050
- Realised P&L
- $19.70
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $33.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes | 0.260 | 1.000 | $32.60 | +$24.12 |
| Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.004 | $0.47 | −$16.95 |
| Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+2.5) · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5) · Atlas FC | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$274.93at 0.511Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$233.43at 0.843Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$214.29at 0.933Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$131.46at 0.952Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.10at 0.636LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 21:43 | Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.24 |
| 08-06 08:23 | LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4999899967 | $14.99 |
| 08-06 08:21 | LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 08-06 00:01 | Game Handicap: GZ (-2.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+2.5) | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 07-19 18:43 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.584 | $291.99 |
| 07-14 20:59 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.366451422 | $439.75 |
| 07-12 00:01 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.5k |
| 07-12 00:01 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.8k |
| 07-01 22:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.898 | $2.9k |