0x6fb3b5f9b4e8b92f58b225736707c4ecd20af91d
0x6fb3b5f9b4e8b92f58b225736707c4ecd20af91d
- Realised P&L
- $992.70
- Volume
- $34.6k
- Markets traded
- 578
- Open portfolio
- $62.12
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded578
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.960 | $26.60 | +$0.26 |
| Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.966 | $20.60 | +$0.34 |
| Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.946 | 0.969 | $14.91 | +$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.05at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11AM ET
- +$84.01at 0.275Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
- +$63.01at 0.205Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
- +$61.56at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$53.63at 0.229Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:40 | Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.26 |
| 10-31 13:20 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $26.33 |
| 10-31 13:18 | Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9464262508 | $14.57 |
| 10-26 13:57 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.907 | $4.54 |
| 10-26 13:25 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.858 | $4.29 |
| 10-26 13:12 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.76906 | $3.85 |
| 10-26 13:12 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.751 | $6.62 |
| 10-26 13:11 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.801 | $0.81 |
| 10-24 13:21 | Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.8063 | $4.03 |
| 10-10 18:52 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.939999989 | $1.71 |
| 10-10 14:44 | Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9199999761 | $1.54 |
| 10-10 08:46 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.8699999943 | $1.52 |
| 10-10 08:45 | Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.7399999081 | $1.45 |
| 10-09 13:20 | Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9099999933 | $1.35 |
| 10-05 15:49 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 24 and 28 million views this week? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.75 |