mignonpignon
0x6fb2a326fa81390a70407a00e1f484281cfb7adf
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $667.7k
- Markets traded
- 460
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded460
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$482.00at 0.036LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
- +$312.29at 0.390Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-05-09?
- +$293.54at 0.008Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$263.47at 0.456Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
- +$175.41at 0.390LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 18:57 | LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 07-29 16:04 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.73 |
| 07-29 16:02 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.048 | $350.09 |
| 07-29 15:25 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0116779444 | $46.59 |
| 07-17 07:36 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0114201083 | $43.73 |
| 07-17 06:47 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0344178543 | $8.69 |
| 07-16 18:56 | Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 06:34 | Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.0229999996 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 09:55 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.9399999991 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 09:51 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $150.00 |
| 07-11 16:03 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.013 | $13.00 |
| 07-10 18:07 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.022 | $66.00 |
| 07-08 07:14 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-07 06:37 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $235.42 |
| 07-07 06:13 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.022 | $84.62 |