ppppx
0x6fb1845453e0fe2ea4fe52c07242fcbf018be637
- Realised P&L
- $-372.72
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $325.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.22at 0.327Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8?
- +$5.35at 0.590Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.370Will Crazy Raccoon Win EWC 2026: Overwatch?
- +$0.46at 0.650Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.840Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:21 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | SELL | 0.69 | $34.50 |
| 08-03 15:19 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 08-03 15:19 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 08-03 15:19 | Will Fidelity Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.705568 | $35.28 |
| 08-02 13:10 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.538 | $26.90 |
| 08-02 13:10 | Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? | SELL | 0.6611460005 | $28.85 |
| 08-02 05:50 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | SELL | 0.667 | $33.35 |
| 08-01 07:11 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 08-01 03:11 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | SELL | 0.31 | $13.95 |
| 08-01 01:10 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 08-01 01:10 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 01:10 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%? | SELL | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 08-01 01:10 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | SELL | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 08-01 01:10 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-01 01:10 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.464 | $23.20 |