Frog-Prince
0x6fb10c9908b68c82f5889f641fdc05ca59ee9319
- Realised P&L
- $5.1k
- Volume
- $816.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,711
- Open portfolio
- $0.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,711
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$527.65at 0.917Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?
- +$457.82at 0.075Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?
- +$446.66at 0.854Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31?
- +$409.51at 0.893Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
- +$302.11at 0.392Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 09-17 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.8053333333 | $24.16 |
| 09-17 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.2032 | $5.08 |
| 09-17 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.30 |
| 09-17 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.011365 | $1.14 |
| 09-17 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.0422901068 | $4.24 |
| 09-17 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 09-14 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 09-13 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.10 |
| 09-13 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 09-13 03:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.08 |
| 09-13 02:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-13 02:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.75 |