PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Frog-Prince

0x6fb10c9908b68c82f5889f641fdc05ca59ee9319

Realised P&L
$5.3k
Volume
$676.6k
Markets traded
1,366
Open portfolio
$74.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,366
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? · Yes0.3880.365$71.91$4.50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 4? · Yes0.1090.015$0.99$6.21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? · Yes0.1220.001$0.30$36.94
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 3? · Yes0.0290.001$0.30$8.32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.1000.003$0.30$9.70
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3? · Yes0.0040.001$0.15$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? · Yes0.0980.001$0.11$20.76
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3? · Yes0.0160.001$0.10$3.10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.0150.001$0.10$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3? · Yes0.0040.001$0.07$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? · Yes0.0600.001$0.05$6.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00$8.13
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on August 1? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.13
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$14.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 2? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$31.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 07:50Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.3744329897$36.32
08-03 07:49Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.96$96.00
08-03 07:43Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.11203$11.20
08-03 07:01Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.4009$40.09
08-03 06:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?SELL0.07$3.01
08-03 06:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3?SELL0.21$12.39
08-03 05:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.141153$14.12
08-03 05:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3?BUY0.005$0.10
08-03 03:50Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.004$0.08
08-03 02:54Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 3?BUY0.0285733333$8.57
08-03 02:51Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.1095$10.95
08-03 02:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?SELL0.21$20.91
08-03 01:50Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.21$10.29
08-03 01:47Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.17$3.25
08-03 01:39Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.2175$21.75