Frog-Prince
0x6fb10c9908b68c82f5889f641fdc05ca59ee9319
- Realised P&L
- $5.3k
- Volume
- $676.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,366
- Open portfolio
- $74.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,366
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$529.07at 0.917Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?
- +$460.12at 0.074Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?
- +$447.16at 0.854Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31?
- +$414.17at 0.888Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
- +$272.76at 0.304Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3744329897 | $36.32 |
| 08-03 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 08-03 07:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.11203 | $11.20 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4009 | $40.09 |
| 08-03 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.01 |
| 08-03 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.21 | $12.39 |
| 08-03 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.141153 | $14.12 |
| 08-03 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 08-03 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 08-03 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.0285733333 | $8.57 |
| 08-03 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1095 | $10.95 |
| 08-03 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.21 | $20.91 |
| 08-03 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.29 |
| 08-03 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.25 |
| 08-03 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2175 | $21.75 |