PolyBot

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Traders

coloradogaston

0x6fac2c4887a6fe30664754b5cd6a0426d33b574e

Realised P&L
$-942.44
Volume
$253.7k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$480.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0210.018$433.47$66.51
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0090.009$47.22$2.77
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8100.000$0.00$100.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$300.00
Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026? · No0.8260.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? · Yes0.3340.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 16:42Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?BUY0.8259587017$100.00
09-01 09:39Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0089999998$50.00
09-01 09:31Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0213394872$500.00
03-14 13:20Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY0.334213756$100.00
02-27 22:10No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027SELL0.1005584729$239.75
02-27 21:55Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?SELL0.936019908$297.15
02-27 21:55Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?SELL0.058$1.78
02-27 21:54Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?BUY0.0649999712$2.00
02-27 21:51Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?BUY0.945$300.00
02-27 13:05US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.8099999993$100.00
02-27 02:19No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027BUY0.1258290483$300.00
02-21 14:22Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?SELL0.006$2.86
02-21 00:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1139999997$300.00
02-09 00:41Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?BUY0.2095411035$100.00
02-09 00:21Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?BUY0.0380302159$20.00