0x6fA407D5faE35Ee6a2C506Da5EA80b06683A4F97-1767621327363
0x6fa407d5fae35ee6a2c506da5ea80b06683a4f97
- Realised P&L
- $-13.57
- Volume
- $76.78
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $0.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.015 | $0.70 | −$4.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.68at 0.880EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$-10.00at 0.390Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,070,000 and $1,080,000 by February 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-06 15:06 | Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,070,000 and $1,080,000 by February 1? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 14:02 | StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 01-05 14:01 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |