gigi-yolo
0x6f9ec12036a456ed4fe6c2bd3b3d26388e38ec32
- Realised P&L
- $-25.14
- Volume
- $545.83
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $20.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.620 | 0.520 | $10.40 | −$2.00 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.505 | $10.10 | +$1.70 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.005 | $0.30 | −$7.50 |
| Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.87at 0.480Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?
- +$0.60at 0.535Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?
- +$-1.00at 0.370Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$-1.20at 0.590Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$-2.63at 0.490Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 17:48 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 10-03 06:27 | Spain snap election called by October 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 10-02 09:46 | Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 10-02 09:46 | Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 10-02 08:51 | Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-02 06:22 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $22.00 |
| 10-02 06:22 | Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar? | SELL | 0.46 | $27.60 |