Xisoer
0x6f85662d0ebae4f97853c4492fe857bc0aaa6141
- Realised P&L
- $-9.84
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $19.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.906 | $9.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $4.38 | +$0.00 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? · No | 0.890 | 1.000 | $2.25 | +$0.25 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025? · No | 0.894 | 1.000 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025? · No | 0.930 | 1.000 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025? · No | 0.948 | 1.000 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 10-16? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.27at 0.790Solana ETF approved in 2025?
- +$0.22at 0.900Will Metaplanet hold 10k+ BTC before July?
- +$0.22at 0.900Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?
- +$0.15at 0.930Will Barron launch a coin before May?
- +$0.13at 0.940Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-18 05:19 | Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $279.44 |
| 11-16 14:01 | Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 11-16 14:00 | Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 11-16 13:59 | Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $284.10 |
| 11-16 13:58 | Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.9771919061 | $309.80 |
| 11-16 13:30 | Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $316.40 |
| 11-16 13:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 10-16? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 12:40 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025? | BUY | 0.8939999964 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:40 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:39 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:39 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025? | BUY | 0.9479999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:38 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | SELL | 0.937 | $1.06 |
| 06-09 04:00 | Will Coinbase acquire Circle before September? | BUY | 0.9729999937 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 04:00 | Solana ETF approved in 2025? | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 03:59 | Will Metaplanet hold 10k+ BTC before July? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |