0x6f82c0b9691ffe99f6f6f06640a4b1b390e8334f
0x6f82c0b9691ffe99f6f6f06640a4b1b390e8334f
- Realised P&L
- $-46.82
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $58.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 13? · Up | 0.460 | 0.475 | $20.65 | +$0.65 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.607 | 0.605 | $19.94 | −$0.06 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? · No | 0.550 | 1.000 | $9.09 | +$4.09 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.591 | 1.000 | $8.46 | +$3.46 |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump attend his son's wedding? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.87at 0.308Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
- +$16.28at 0.607Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
- +$13.72at 0.647Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?
- +$13.35at 0.439Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$11.31at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 06:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 06:50 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6069651681 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 13:29 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5909998954 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 02:46 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 17:31 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 20:44 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 01:14 | Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 20:18 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 20:17 | Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 12:38 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.0689999685 | $2.00 |
| 05-24 12:36 | Will Trump attend his son's wedding? | BUY | 0.0219999895 | $2.00 |
| 05-19 22:41 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 22:38 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 22:38 | World Championships: Austria vs. Switzerland | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |