PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x6F6afe7d0d0f660291ae43C3D295f11eb0173a2D-1729763118262

0x6f6afe7d0d0f660291ae43c3d295f11eb0173a2d

Realised P&L
$-932.12
Volume
$326.5k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$51.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2300.045$19.57$80.43
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2040.130$19.07$10.93
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2960.125$12.65$17.35
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.4020.000$0.00$100.00
Kurds declare independence from Iran? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$200.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$530.00
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? · No0.0780.000$0.00$110.00
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-07 23:10Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
04-07 23:10Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?BUY0.1$60.00
04-07 23:07Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?BUY0.0599999986$40.00
04-07 21:38Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.0409999996$100.00
04-06 20:57Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.033$30.00
03-26 20:56Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.008$125.48
03-06 22:37Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1043788481$160.00
03-06 22:37Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY0.32$150.00
03-06 22:36Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.2296680718$400.00
03-05 21:16Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1269999999$800.00
03-04 22:31Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?BUY0.1691878957$50.00
03-04 22:27Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.0907696357$50.00
03-04 22:25Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.2965403574$30.00
03-04 22:25Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.4016552091$100.00
03-04 22:24Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY0.3400773911$200.00