0x6f566381346a689cfff99305d8d40c27958e1f33
0x6f566381346a689cfff99305d8d40c27958e1f33
- Realised P&L
- $5.30
- Volume
- $252.48
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $20.08
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.435 | $3.63 | +$1.63 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.963 | $3.01 | +$1.01 |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.385 | $2.85 | +$0.85 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 1.000 | $2.74 | +$0.74 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.835 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.235 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.765 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.525 | $1.59 | −$0.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.94at 0.258Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?
- +$3.82at 0.351Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$3.26at 0.380Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?
- +$2.59at 0.442Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:30 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 14:29 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 04:34 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 03:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 16:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 07:43 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 22:50 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 14:47 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 05:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299997409 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 19:36 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 11:29 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 15:19 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6099998141 | $1.05 |
| 09-16 07:14 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 23:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 13:52 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |