0x6f3d25b3ea01507bc0c8ec1f08c3d59b1bd176a2
- Realised P&L
- $-626.09
- Volume
- $25.8k
- Markets traded
- 147
- Open portfolio
- $31.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded147
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.78at 0.495Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 14?
- +$115.71at 0.102Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on February 11?
- +$69.52at 0.351Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 17?
- +$58.09at 0.440Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5
- +$46.58at 0.510Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 04:45 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |
| 02-18 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.2899999441 | $2.75 |
| 02-18 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.60 |
| 02-18 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.3207915977 | $6.41 |
| 02-18 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.3599999717 | $5.60 |
| 02-18 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.3261834686 | $6.41 |
| 02-18 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.3699999617 | $5.60 |
| 02-18 13:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.329817513 | $6.30 |
| 02-18 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.3186108947 | $6.30 |
| 02-18 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.3599999638 | $5.57 |
| 02-18 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.2999999633 | $4.90 |
| 02-18 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.3416736269 | $5.57 |
| 02-18 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.90 |
| 02-18 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.3099999759 | $6.30 |
| 02-18 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 18? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.65 |