IrishSpoonbill
0x6f269a4859c3fb7f8b4cc72a73c37247f4de8984
- Realised P&L
- $137.00
- Volume
- $35.3k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $598.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$228.13at 0.389Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$207.04at 0.569Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score
- +$141.64at 0.708Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$125.20at 0.559US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$78.95at 0.668Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 23:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $272.00 |
| 08-27 23:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | SELL | 0.98412685 | $196.83 |
| 08-27 22:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.2465624 | $61.64 |
| 08-15 23:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? | BUY | 0.84 | $168.00 |
| 07-19 21:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3275 | $97.68 |
| 07-18 21:22 | France vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 07-16 18:39 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.35 | $8.75 |
| 06-23 23:36 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $80.00 |
| 06-23 23:34 | Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 06-23 19:23 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.69 | $517.50 |
| 06-18 16:23 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.71 | $532.50 |
| 06-18 16:20 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.992 | $496.00 |
| 06-04 23:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $244.44 |
| 06-04 23:29 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $40.00 |
| 05-30 17:39 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.45 | $54.00 |